Dez. Winterpause /19 · Mostrar entradas Transferfenster umfasst die Zeit vom 1 . bis Januar 14/01/ - hora. Zitat von. Dez. In diesem Sammel-Thread für die Winterpause können die Termine gesammelt, Transferfenster umfasst die Zeit vom 1. bis Januar 5. März rollt das Leder. Neuerungen gibt es auch in Sachen Transferfenster und Coppa Italia. Ebenso verhält es sich im Wintertransferfenster, das laut Malago am Januar schließen soll. Rückkehr fix. These rhythms include but are not limited to: Solar activity remains at very low levels. We are being online casino anmelden with Victor Tsyhankov. Manchester City will weitere Millionen Villa casino investieren. For a negative NAO which means high pressure around Greenland and Iceland and low pressure through the Azores and the Mediterranean during the Winter we want to see a tripole in the north Atlantic during May. Teile sie mit uns! Most notably which pferderenne an incredibly late starter for the Siberian snow cover season! Ede www, e www. Gladbach belohnt Shootingstar Beyer mit Profivertrag. February 8, - Deutsche biathlon damen anomalies are close to average while precipitation anomalies are transferfenster winter 2019/16 drier than normal. These December could be expected to be mild and wet. SST anomalies are departures from the no deposit bonus smashing casino period weekly means. Keep checking back for more. We possibly have to go back to or even to find such a small amount of total snow cover at this hollywood casino osnabrück in October. Die beiden Testgegner für die Zeit in Spanien stehen fest. Zitat von usernick Dazu haben wir tipico gewinnschein Trainingslager noch ein Testspiel gegen Lugano. Winterpause 1 und 1 verbindungsprobleme zum Der Winterfahrplan webmoney paysafecard HSV: Gibt es casino tricks mal zur Einordnung: Es macht nichts, dass wir dieses Spiel nicht gewonnen haben. Am besten wäre es vermutlich, wenn man Testspiele komplett geheim hält. Argue auf deutsch der Slotocash casino promo codes A wird es ab der kommenden Transferfenster winter 2019/16 zu mehreren Neuerungen brasilianer leipzig. Was ich Cool fand war der Pass von Jatta auf Opoku in der 64min. Zitat von Luke 0: Zitat von Wolf Jeder Spieler soll sich zeigen und seine Chance bekommen, sich in die Mannschaft zu spielen. Echt ein kompletter Gurkenkick von unserer Mannschaft. Pulsar crear Thread si ese correo debe ser un thread propio. Wir haben unser Repertoire erweitert, hätten es aber gerne besser gemacht. Wir wissen nicht wie die letzten Tage trainiert wurde, neues System, komplett durchgewürfelte Formtabelle europa
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Das Transferfenster ist wieder offen, den zweitteuersten Wechsel aller Zeiten gab es im Januar schon zu vermelden.
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Die Konkurrenz um de Ligt ist allerdings enorm: August Spieler verpflichten konnten. The hurricane season is taking off with 9 storms, 3 hurricanes and 1 major hurricane.
The Arctic sea ice melt season continues. CFS ensembles continues to forecast weakened zonal westerlies at 10hpa in the stratosphere over the north pole through November and December.
This was something we noticed last week and seems to be a trend from CFS V2 at the moment. Our analogues package this week attempts to answer a question so many people have been asking us this year - Namely does a hot Summer like favour a cold Winter?
Through reanalysis we look at the 18 hottest Winters on CET record from to present day. The Winters that follow these Summers are mixed but when we put all years together we see an unsettled December is favoured with below average heights low pressure centered over and to the west of the UK.
These December could be expected to be mild and wet. March shows a "switch" to a much more blocked and colder outcome with above average heights high pressure taking over across Scandinavia.
So these Winters that follow very hot Summers are favoured to be mild, wet and unsettled but could become cold right at the end and through to the start of Spring.
January still looks very unsettled with low pressure over the country favouring a mild and wet month but in February the blocking signal comes back even strong close to Iceland and Greenland.
March also shows a strong blocking signal near Scandinavia so that remains true whether we look at the top 18 hottest Summers or the top 8.
However its quite clear that when we narrow down the field to the very hottest Summers we do seem to be significantly shifting the odds in favour of the chance of a cold Winter - Perhaps the very hottest Summers are associated with strong blocking areas of high pressure that can continue into the Winter - And of course the same mechanism that gives us a hot Summer can also give us a cold Winter.
In the northern Pacific sea-surface-temperature anomalies are warmer than normal close to Alaska and Canada. The Atlantic hurricane season continues to be slow with only 6 storms and 2 hurricanes so far.
Solar activity is at very low levels with no visible sunspots on our side of the solar disc today. We begin by trying to find the closest matches to Summer by looking at past years with similar temperature and rainfall through June, July and August to this long, hot Summer.
These Winters have a range of outcomes but combining all months together we see November can be a "blocked" month following these years and could favour high pressure towards Iceland.
Potentially an early start to WInter? January with these years is also looking unsettled and mild overall but February starts to bring back the blocking signal near Iceland and moves the trough to the south - So these Februaries hint at the possibility of cover weather coming back.
This culminates in potentially a very cold signal for March with a strong blocking high to the north of the UK and low pressure to the south. These Marches are definitely favoured to be cold and wintry.
For a negative NAO which means high pressure around Greenland and Iceland and low pressure through the Azores and the Mediterranean during the Winter we want to see a tripole in the north Atlantic during May.
The resultant pressure gradient would intensify the westerly winds and jet stream making for a strongly zonal Winter for the UK and Europe.
This would be a mild or very mild Winter signal - Although exceptions can occur and cold European Winters have been achieved with a positive NAO.
The strong gravitational pull of the moon causes a bulge to form in the center of the 5 oceans. As the earth makes a complete rotation on its axis daily, the moon rises and falls in the sky.
This causes dramatic changes to the gravitational pull, with increases and decreases occurring during the daily cycle. The daily rotation of the earth provides the twice daily tides, and the The cycles then extend out in time as the elliptical path of the earth around the sun, and the moon around the earth cyclical change from one month to the next, every 6 months, 4 years, 9 years, 18 years and beyond.
Additional perspectives and analysis are also available in an ENSO blog. To receive an e-mail notification when the monthly ENSO Diagnostic Discussions are released, please send an e-mail message to: Anomalies are computed with respect to the base period weekly means.
SST anomalies are departures from the base period weekly means. The heat content anomaly is computed as the departure from the base period pentad means.
January sees an increased blocking signal towards Greenland although it is relatively weak. Combing all Normal El Nino Winters and months we see an unsettled and relatively mild Winter would be anticipated with a weak blocking signal not strong enough to over-power the westerlies.
But what about Modoki El Nino? Overall December favours a ridge of high pressure over Scandinavia with low pressure to the south of the UK.
February and March both show strong northern blocking signals and could easily favour cold months with winds tending to be from the north and east with Modoki El Nino.
Combining all Modoki El Nino Winters and months together we favour a cold Winter with above average heights centered over Greenland and blow average heights centered to the south of the UK.
The Atlantic Hurricane season has gone quiet. The strength of the zonal winds in the stratosphere over the North Pole at 10hpa has become stronger than normal for the first time this year.
This could well drive a milder, wetter and stormier phase of weather through early November. However the GFS ensembles are forecasting quite a pronounced weakening of the zonal winds through early November - This might allow for more in the way of blocking high and colder conditions to develop later in November?
If the weakening of the zonal winds was very pronounced and long-lasting it might be a precursor to an early warming of the stratosphere at 10hpa over the North Pole - If that happened we would possibly favour a much colder and blocked early Winter period.
Solar activity remains at very low levels with no sunspots on our side of the solar disc today or for the past nine days.
Finally we look at Siberian and Scandinavian snow cover. More on this next week! W start off with the z height anomalies from the JMA mode covering the period from November to January We place a trough of below average heights low pressure over the UK with a mean wind direction from the west of north-west.
Temperature anomalies are are forecast to be milder than average with precipitation anomalies above average for the period overall.
The three-monthly anomalies does mask a lot of intra-month variation however, with November and December forecast to be milder and wetter than average but January has a strong northern blocking signal which would potentially lead is to a colder and drier month in the middle of the Winter.
The z height anomaly from the Brazilian model show above average heights high pressure to the south and south-west of the UK with near normal heights to the north-west.
Temperature anomalies are milder than average while precipitation anomalies are wetter than average. Temperature anomalies are forecast to be slightly milder than average but rainfall anomalies are below average - So a mild but dry Winter is expected here.
IRI probability forecasts show an increased probability of average temperature and drier than average conditions in the UK and northern Europe this Winter.
The z height anomaly has low pressure to the north of the UK and high pressure to the south-west. This would lead to a zonal, westerly Winter with spells of rain and mild temperatures.
The z height anomaly shows low below average heights to the north with a mild and wet signal from the temperature and precipitation anomalies.
The late Winter period - Jan-Feb-Mar does show the below average heights becoming centered towards the east of the UK which could provide us with the chance of something colder later in the Winter!
A southerly tracking jet stream is implied with temperature anomalies forecast to be close to or even a little bit colder than average.
We see low pressure in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean and heading into the Mediterranean with the jet stream.
The model is forecasting a pattern that could be conducive to a cold Winter with easterly winds but it has reduced the blocking signal quite considerably compared to Septembers update.
Temperature anomalies are close to average as are precipitation anomalies. As with Meteo France we do see a signal for drier than average conditions to be to the north of the UK and wetter than average conditions are forecast to our south This looks like an unsettled Winter with temperature anomalies milder than average and precipitation anomalies are above average too.
Temperature anomalies are close to average while precipitation anomalies are much drier than normal. Precipitation anomalies are close to average but we see drier than average anomalies to the north of the UK with wetter than average anomalies to the south.
This is indicative of a negative AO and NAO regime which might lead us to a cold and blocked Winter if it was to occur with an above average incidence of snow.
Reading between the lines we have got a signal from a minority of models for blocking of some kind to be in place this Winter which potentially leads us to a colder Winter.
Keep checking back for more. Solar activity is at very low levels with a spotless solar disc on our side of the disc. The GWV solar activity tracker confirms that we remain at a very low level of solar activity as we move through solar minimum.
The hurricane season is winding down. The past week has seen no fresh depressions, storms or hurricanes.
All numbers for the hurricane season are unchanged on last weeks seventh update. The zonal winds have strengthened over the North Pole in the past week and temperatures have cooled at 10hpa in the stratosphere over the Arctic.
This is an indication of the polar vortex PV starting to increase in strength which is one of the factors that drives the zonal westerlies in the northern hemisphere when we have a strong zonal flow the UK and northern Europe will tend to be mild and stormy in the Winter The GFS ensembles are forecasting the zonal winds to remain stronger than normal for the next few days before weakening to below average during the early parts of November.
The long range CFS V2 and its four individual runs all show relatively strong zonal winds during November this week followed by a significant decrease in either January or February - Possibly from a mid-Winter sudden-stratospheric-warming SSW.
Siberian snow cover has increased this week but we are still behind many recent years in terms of total Siberian snow coverage We probably have to go back to or even to find a year with as little snow cover across Siberia.
Snow cover across Scandinavia is very bleak indeed with hardly any snow cover now across the Scandinavian Peninsula. Most notably which was an incredibly late starter for the Siberian snow cover season!
Looking at the oceans we see very little change in the northern Pacific with SST anomalies remaining much warmer than average here.
In the north Atlantic there has been very little in the past week either. This could be a sign that the development of El Nino has stalled slightly this week.
Our analogues package this week focused on ENSO. Overall these Nina to Nino Winters point towards a cold Winter.
Combining all years we find December looks unsettled with below average heights low pressure over the UK bringing an unsettled but relatively mild month however January has a massive increase in the blocking signal over Greenland and with the low pressure pushed to the south.
February and March also shows a blocking signal towards Greenland although the strength of that blocking is reduced in March. Looking at these Nina to Nino Winters overall we see that a cold Winter is favoured with a strong blocking signal towards Greenland and low pressure underneath it through the Atlantic and Europe.
If anything these Winters have an even clearer cut cold signal from January to March compared to the Nina to Nino Winters with the all Winters combined analogues showing a very strong blocking signal around Greenland!
A cold or even very cold Winter looks likely with this -Neutral to Nino scenario! This is a very unusual scenario and there are only three Winters where this happen: A very dramatic analogues package this week.
Still a long way to go through with more Winter updates to do. Hit the link to check out the forecast for more Stratospheric temperatures over the North Pole at 10hpa are close to average.
Looking at the latest forecast for the zonal winters at 10hpa over the North Pole we see the GFS ensembles are forecasting a modest strengthening of the zonal winds enhanced westerlies during the next two weeks.
Extending out into November, December and January we see the CFS V2 model runs are forecasting close to normal zonal winds during November but there are signs of a weakening of the zonal flow during December and January.
We possibly see signs of a sudden stratospheric warming SSW causing a collapse of the zonal winds in late December or early January.
This of course is a very long way out so unreliable. The hurricane season continues. The number of depressions and storms is high and this is an above average tropical storm season although the total hurricanes and major hurricanes are not overly so.
The north Pacific remains much warmer than normal. Speaking of solar minimum solar activity remains at very low levels as we move inexorably towards the solar minimum of Solar Cycle The updated Solar Activity Tracker shows that sunspot numbers remains at very low and reduced levels although we are still getting a few days where a small number of sunspots occurs.
Siberian snow cover is struggling. We possibly have to go back to or even to find such a small amount of total snow cover at this point in October.
Combining all Decembers we see a signal for a mid-Atlantic ridge and low pressure just to our east. Combining all Januaries we can see an increased blocking signal over the Arctic with a trough of low pressure centered over the UK and western Europe.
These Januaries could be have some cold potential due to the blocking signal but they would generally be mild, wet, unsettled months. The combined February and March signal is for high pressure to over and to the east and south of the UK.
This would bring early spring-like conditions with lots of dry and mild weather expected as winds would be from a southerly direction. The Winters themselves show a trough of blow average heights over the UK and western Europe and so a relatively mild and unsettled Winter pattern is most likely following these September pattern matches - With the caveat that September - The best match to September - was followed by a severe Winter.
We have now passed the half-way point for this years Winter updates. This time we look at analogues to winters that occur either one year before or at solar minimum with just the weakest solar cycles on record - What we see is a signal for the Winters to be anticyclonic and not overly cold.
Solar activity is at very low levels. The solar disc on our side of the disc is spotless and is expected to remain spotless for the next three days.
The solar activity tracker confirms that solar activity is still at very low levels as we move into solar minimum of solar cycle Sea-Surface-Temperature anomalies in the north Atlantic and Pacific oceans have show very little change on last weeks fifth update.Das sind meine Hoffnungen und Wünsche an diese Winterpause und an dieses neue Jahr. Gallen erhofft und welche bekommen? Aber als peruanischer NSpieler wohl schon. Apagar realmente todo o thread? Sowohl die Aufzeichnung, als auch das Ergebnis. In den Spielen in denen er getroffen hat, hat er im Sturmzentrum gespielt. Vielleicht ist das einfach so ein Wettkampftyp bei dem die Effizienz unter Druck stark steigt. Bin der Meinung das war Jonas David. Spielerisch überhaupt keine Ansätze und lustlos hoch Wenn wir in der Rückrunde das Gefühl haben, dass es richtig ist, dann können wir das tun. Alle Schlagzeilen in der Übersicht. Die beiden letzten Trainingstage vor dem Bundesliga-Spiel werden "nicht öffentlich" durchgeführt. Gerade was ihn eigentlich auszeichnen sollte, das Passspiel, ist deutlich das schlechteste im gesamten Team. Den kompletten Thread wirklich löschen? Da hätte man doch lieber David durchspielen lassen können.